NFL Week 6 picks and odds: Packers top Buccaneers in wild shootout, Chiefs win thriller over Bills

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[advert_one] Men, I am going to be truthful, soon after all the modifications the NFL produced to the regular period timetable over the weekend, I do not even definitely know who’s participating in this week. I have already missing observe. The NFL despatched out a one,000-phrase push launch that explained all […]


Men, I am going to be truthful, soon after all the modifications the NFL produced to the regular period timetable over the weekend, I do not even definitely know who’s participating in this week. I have already missing observe. The NFL despatched out a one,000-phrase push launch that explained all the modifications, but I stopped reading through it about 200 words in, which almost certainly points out why I have no concept what is actually going on. 

To make the timetable modify work, it’s like the NFL took some darts, but in its place of throwing them at a dartboard, they threw them at a Magic Eight Ball that was sitting down on major of a Jenga tower. 

NFL: “Magic Eight Ball, must we throw competitive equilibrium out the window and make a bunch of timetable modifications that will needlessly impact multiple groups?”
Magic Eight Ball: “As I see it, of course.” 

I imagine what I am expressing in this article is that the NFL produced almost everything way extra intricate than it needed to be and it’s very likely all going to appear crashing down quickly, but you know what, I am going to retain finding video games until it comes about. 

By the way, these are my 7 days 6 picks, which should not be confused with my 7 days five picks and I am only mentioning my 7 days five picks mainly because 7 days five technically isn’t really even over if you happen to be reading through this on Tuesday. In essence, if you happen to be seeking for a Payments-Titans pick, you may have to look at out previous week’s report, which you can do by clicking in this article. 

If the NFL desires to make any extra modifications, I am guaranteed the Cowboys would happily concur to postponing the rest of the period until March, which is when Dak Prescott may be healthy once more. In one of the most gruesome accidents you may ever see, Dak broke his ankle in opposition to the Giants on Sunday. 

I am not guaranteed how very good the Cowboys are going to be without the need of him, but I do imagine they’re going to get this week. Whoops, I just spoiled a pick. Let us hurry up and get to the rest of the picks so I do not spoil something else. 

Really, just before we get to the picks, here’s a brief reminder that you can look at out the weekly picks from every NFL expert by clicking in this article. If you do not click on over, I will not likely be offended. Having said that, I will be offended if you do not indication up for’s NFL publication, which my bosses have put me in charge of for some cause.  

If you do indication up, it’s like an early Christmas existing for both of those of us: I get extra indication-ups and you get an e-mail from me every single weekday, which usually means it’s definitely like five offers if you imagine about it. If you want to subscribe, all you have to do is click on in this article and enter your e-mail tackle. I promise not to spam you and I promise not to send you any inappropriate images. 

Given that I am now jogging a publication, you may be wondering that I am going to be way also fast paced to podcast, but nope, you happen to be in luck, mainly because I am going to nevertheless be on the Choose Six Podcast, which is our each day NFL podcast in this article at For the rest of the 2020 period, I am going to be joining Will Brinson and Ryan Wilson for 3 demonstrates for each week (Monday, Tuesday and Friday). 

You can hear to Tuesday’s episode beneath. The cause you happen to be going to want to hear is mainly because we spent way extra time than we almost certainly must have hoping to rank the quarterbacks in the NFC South, which definitely isn’t really as quick as it sounds. We also talked about the Saints wild get over the Chargers.  

If you do not have time to hear now, make guaranteed to click in this article so you can subscribe and hear later on. 

Some day, I promise I am going to halt inquiring you guys to subscribe to factors, but until then, can you make sure you also indication up for my Backstreet Boys publication? Just kidding, that is not authentic. At minimum not nevertheless. Let us get to the picks. 

NFL 7 days 6 Picks

Chicago (4-one) at Carolina (3-two)

one p.m. ET (Fox)
Place distribute: Panthers, -two.5 

If you would have explained to me just before the period started that Bears-Panthers would be should-see Television set in Oct, I would’ve assumed that you had been conversing about a demonstrate on Animal World that involves true bears and true panthers. And I have to say, now that I am conversing about it, I may basically attempt to look at a documentary on bears this weekend. I like bear documentaries. 

As for this game, I nevertheless have no concept if possibly of these groups are any very good. The Panthers are 3-two, but their 3 wins arrived in opposition to a rookie quarterback who was producing his second career begin (Justin Herbert), a crew that has already fired its coach (the Falcons) and a Cardinals crew that had to fly across the country for a game that kicked off at one p.m. ET, which usually means it felt like ten a.m. on their overall body clocks. 

The Bears also have two factors the Panthers haven’t definitely observed this period: A very good protection plus a quarterback who I imagine may be 50 %-opossum mainly because he performs lifeless for 50 % the game just before coming back again to everyday living just in time to direct his crew to a miraculous fourth-quarter get. The point that the Bears have won any video games this period is a borderline miracle mainly because we’re five weeks into the period and they somehow nevertheless haven’t scored a Solitary Place IN THE Third QUARTER. That is like going five whole weeks without the need of working with toilet paper. It would not even seem to be doable. 

By way of five video games, the Bears have scored zero points in the 3rd quarter, which is the lowest complete of any crew in the NFL this period, Together with THE JETS. That is not a typo. The Bears are worse than the Jets at anything. I imagine we know which quarter Foles is participating in opossum. The very good news for the Bears is that their protection is so very good this complete “We can not score in the 3rd quarter” detail may not subject in opposition to Carolina. 

I imagine the Panthers are going to have a rough time scoring on the Bears and if you combine that with the point that I have decided not to pick in opposition to Nick Foles for the foreseeable long term, I imagine we know who I am having in this game. 

The pick: Bears 20-17 over Panthers

Cleveland (4-one) at Pittsburgh (4-)

one p.m. ET (CBS)
Place distribute: Steelers, -3.five

I thought an apocalypse would destroy civilization just before we might ever see the Browns begin a period 4-one, and as it turns out, I guess I was 50 % ideal, mainly because a pandemic is definitely on the checklist of ridiculous factors that could ultimately direct to an apocalypse.

The Browns are off to 4-one begin for the first time given that 1994, which is notable, mainly because that is also the previous time they won a playoff game. I have basically been really amazed by the Browns this 12 months. Well, most of them. By way of five weeks, I am nevertheless not totally offered on Baker Mayfield. The Browns quarterback confronted his hardest problem of the 12 months on Sunday in opposition to the Colts protection and let us just say, he failed to appear impressive. I signify, soon after seeing that game, I am somewhat confident he may not even be the ideal quarterback on the crew. 

Mayfield now has to go into the Residence of Horrors identified as Pittsburgh to confront a Steelers protection that may be even superior than Indy’s. Also, he’s going to have to confront the Steelers without the need of his beginning ideal guard, Wyatt Teller, who’s very likely going to skip this week’s game with an damage. With Teller out, the Browns will be rolling with someone (Chris Hubbard) who’s in no way started a game at ideal guard just before. That may be good if you happen to be facing the Jets, but that is not so good if you happen to be facing the Steelers. 

Also, I am not guaranteed I mentioned it, but the Browns have in no way overwhelmed Mike Tomlin’s Steelers in Pittsburgh (-13). The good thing is for the Browns, I am a big believer in the law of averages and that law suggests they have to get a game in Pittsburgh at some position. Having said that, I am also a big believer in Murphy’s Legislation, which suggests that almost everything that can go wrong, will go wrong, which variety of sums up every single game Cleveland has ever performed at Heinz Area. 

I am going to split the variation in this article and say that some factors do basically go ideal for Cleveland in this game, but not enough to get. 

The pick: Steelers 27-24 over Browns

Inexperienced Bay (4-) at Tampa Bay (3-two)

4:25 p.m. ET (Fox)
Place distribute: Packers, -one.five points

Aaron Rodgers has been in the NFL given that 2005 and somehow, this game will mark just the 3rd time ever that he’s absent head-to-head on the industry in opposition to Tom Brady. Even Brady knows how numerous periods these two guys have confronted each individual other. 

No Tom, this isn’t really the fourth meeting, it’s the 3rd. DID YOU Drop Depend Once again? 

This is receiving out of hand. (By the way, Brady and Rodgers are one-one in opposition to each individual other)

In any case, the point that these two have only met on the industry two times just before this week feels like a travesty. I have published Roger Goodell a letter every single 12 months for the earlier fifteen many years inquiring him if he could put extra Brady-Rodgers video games on the timetable, but for some cause, he’s in no way published me back again. Certain, he has other factors to fret about like how to pull off an total NFL period all through a pandemic, but, I signify, other than that, he would not definitely have something else going on, so I am not guaranteed why he will not likely just compose me back again. 

For me, this game will come down to two hurt players: One particular who will not likely be on the industry and one who will very likely be on the industry. The hurt player who will not likely be on the industry is Buccaneers defensive tackle Vita Vea, who’s out for the period soon after breaking his ankle in opposition to the Bears in 7 days five. By way of the five weeks, the Buccaneers have had the ideal rushing protection in the NFL and a big cause for that is mainly because of Vita’s skill to plug up the center. The Buccaneers protection may ultimately get better from getting rid of Vea, but I do not imagine it’s going to transpire this week when they have to go up in opposition to the NFL’s fourth-top rusher in Aaron Jones. 

As for the other hurt player, that is Davante Adams and he IS predicted to play on Sunday. Rodgers has been placing up enormous figures without the need of his favored player on the industry and now that Adams is back again, I anticipate even even larger figures. I imagine we’re going to see a shootout on Sunday and soon after the game, hopefully Roger Goodell will finally compose me back again to permit me know that Rodgers vs. Brady will be on the timetable every single period going forward until Brady finally retires. Brady will almost certainly be on board with the concept given that he’s almost certainly going to want revenge soon after getting rid of on Sunday. 

The pick: Packers 34-31 over Buccaneers

Kansas City (4-one) at Buffalo (4-)

Monday, five p.m. ET (Fox)
Place distribute: Chiefs, -3.five

The timetable suggests this game is remaining performed on Monday at five p.m. ET, but I am not going to think that until we see a kickoff basically transpire. This game was originally meant to be performed on Thursday, but then acquired moved to Sunday, but not just before there was some chatter that the game may be performed on Saturday, just before the NFL ultimately settled on Monday. 

If that paragraph barely produced feeling, then you will almost certainly concur with the tweet beneath. 

With this game now on Monday, the most important winner in this article is the Chiefs. Ahead of the timetable modify, the Chiefs had been going to have to play on Sunday in 7 days five, then fly to Buffalo on just 3 whole days of rest for a Thursday game. Rather, the Chiefs will now be receiving 7 whole days of rest, which usually means they’re going to have a whole week to lick the wounds they sustained in Sunday’s loss to the Raiders. On the other hand, the Payments will be coming into this game soon after participating in on a Tuesday in opposition to the Titans. 

Is it reasonable that the Chiefs are receiving more rest? I have no concept what is actually reasonable in these corona periods, but I do know that I would substantially relatively be in Kansas City’s problem. Also, if you give Andy Reid a couple more days to cook dinner anything up offensively, he just about generally takes edge of it. Not only is the Chiefs coach just about unbeatable off a bye, but he also has a very reliable document on “Monday Evening Soccer.” Given that remaining employed by the Chiefs in 2013, Reid is 6- vs. AFC groups on Monday evening, together with 4- with Patrick Mahomes. 

The total inhabitants of Buffalo may at the same time smash themselves via a folding desk if the Payments pull off the upset on Monday night and as substantially as I want to see that transpire, I am having the Chiefs. 

The pick: Chiefs 30-27 over Payments

Lock of the 7 days

N.Y. Jets (-five) at Miami (two-3)

4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)
Place distribute: Dolphins, -8

If you happen to be asking yourself why these two groups are participating in this week, here’s the answer: This game was originally meant to be performed in 7 days 9, but it has now been moved to 7 days 6 as aspect of the NFL’s effort to make the 2020 timetable as complicated as doable. 

As quickly as I saw that this game had been moved, I instantly questioned myself one question, “Who is the NFL coach I have confidence in the minimum in a circumstance that involves them remaining forced to game-plan for a crew that they weren’t anticipating to confront?” And not incredibly, the answer to that question is Adam Gase. The Jets can barely put jointly a practical game plan all through a standard week, so I have zero religion that they’re going to be in a position to plan for an opponent that they failed to know they had been going to be participating in this week. 

The Jets are -five, they haven’t appeared very good all period and I am 90% guaranteed their total enthusiast foundation has jumped ship. I signify, even this doggy has presented up on the Jets period. Puppies are the happiest animals in the entire world and appear what the Jets have done to this poor person. 

I truly feel like Sam Darnold almost certainly has the identical overall body language anytime he has to sit via a quarterback meeting with Adam Gase. By the way, in circumstance you haven’t seen, the Jets are evidently on their annual quest to see if they can make their total period collapse just before 7 days 6 is over and I am just not going to pick in opposition to the variety of perseverance. If you combine that with the point that I imagine the Dolphins may basically be very good, this has blowout published all over it. 

The pick: Dolphins 31-17 over Jets
Lock of the week document: 6-one straight-up, five-two in opposition to the distribute

NFL 7 days 6 picks: All the rest

Texans 26-23 over Titans
Vikings 30-20 over Falcons
Patriots 27-17 over Broncos
Colts 23-20 over Bengals
Ravens 34-24 over Eagles
Giants 30-23 over Washington
Lions 27-20 over Jaguars
Rams 30-22 over 49ers
Cowboys 33-30 over Cardinals

BYES: Seahawks, Saints, Raiders, Chargers

Last 7 days

Best pick: Last week I predicted that the 49ers would score just 17 points in an upset loss to the Dolphins and GUESS WHAT Transpired? The 49ers scored just 17 points in an upset loss to the Dolphins. Men, I do not want to say I am receiving also famous for my have very good, but seemingly, I am now viewed as “Well-identified.”

I am not guaranteed when I graduated to that, but I have to say, factors have definitely modified for the superior given that it transpired. Following getting to be “Well-identified,” the first detail I did was get the $199 million yacht that Jaguars proprietor Shad Khan has put up for sale. 

I have no concept why my bid went via, but at the time you happen to be “Well-identified,” I guess they just suppose you can manage it. I also do not consume at Wendy’s any more, mainly because “Well-identified” individuals are not to be observed at that position centered on what I have been explained to.

Worst pick: Last week I picked the Chiefs to conquer the Raiders mainly because I thought there was no way in a seven billion many years that Derek Carr would ever be in a position to outplay Patrick Mahomes in a skilled football game, but I was wrong. Except Mahomes and Carr switched groups just before the game and failed to tell any one, it was in point Carr who was the superior quarterback on Sunday. The frightening detail is that if Carr can play at that level for the rest of the period, and I have no concept if he can, then the Raiders could pressure themselves not just into the playoff race, but into the division title race. 

Derek Carr participating in out-gunning Patrick Mahomes? The Browns are 4-one?  The apocalypse may basically truly be on us. 

Eventually, if you guys have ever questioned which groups I am basically very good at finding, I am going to begin sharing that data with you now that we’re five weeks into the period and have a decent sample sizing. 

Here is a brief appear at the groups I have done perfectly finding:

Groups I am five- finding this 12 months (Straight-up): Ravens, Giants, Steelers (4-), Patriots (4-), Packers (4-) Titans (3-).

Groups I am 4-one finding this 12 months (Straight-up): Jets, Chargers, Dolphins, Texans, Chiefs, Vikings, Buccaneers, Saints, Seahawks, Washington, Broncos (3-one), Bengals (3-one-one).

On the other hand, you must almost certainly just go forward and disregard every single pick I make in any Raiders video games going forward. I am one-4 finding Raiders video games, producing them the only crew in the NFL wherever I have a document of -five or one-4. Fortunately I can not embarrass myself with a Raiders pick this week mainly because they’re on a bye. 

Picks File

Straight up in 7 days five: 10-3 (Picks document will be up-to-date soon after Tuesday’s Payments-Titans game)
SU over-all: 51-24-one

From the distribute in 7 days five: 7-6 
ATS over-all: 37-38-one

You can locate John Breech on Facebook or Twitter and if he’s not performing one of these factors, he’s almost certainly out on the road inquiring random strangers to indication up for his NFL publication, which you can do by clicking in this article.

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